Predicting the Future
Predicting the future is challenging. I remember reading Nicholas Negroponte's book Being Digital many years ago, and it's been amazing to see so many of his predictions come to pass. In particular, I remember reading about his "trading places" idea, or what become known as the "Negroponte Switch". It's basically the idea that we used to have static devices that don't move, like televisions, getting their signal delivered wirelessly through the air, while other devices that should be mobile, like telephones, required the use of cables in order to connect. The "Switch", predicted by Negroponte back in the 1980s, would be that telephones would one day get their signal wirelessly and televisions would get theirs via cables. It took about 20 years for that to happen, but happen it certainly did. Looking back now, if you understood the technologies that brought the changes, the signs were probably there and it made sense but it took someone l...